The Cost of Guessing

Finding the real problem first is far cheaper than guessing and paying to fix the wrong thing.

Chart: The Cost of Guessing. Finding the real problem first is far cheaper than guessing and paying to fix the wrong thing.
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The mechanism

The chart puts two bars next to each other, measured by total money spent. The "diagnose first" bar is short: a small $6K check to find the real problem, then about $30K spent fixing the right thing, for roughly $36K. The "hire on a hunch" bar is tall and red - $50K to $150K spent on the wrong fix, with a ghosted block on top for the re-hire you'll still need. Paying to learn the real problem through wasted work costs far more than paying to find it up front.

Part of Persistence. Infrastructure that keeps growth compounding past founder heroics.